| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.9% | 64% | +4.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.9% | 67.0% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Giorgio Tabacco | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Branko Djuric | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Fausto Tabacco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Sciahbasi, Matteo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Andrey Chepelev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Alexander Weis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Marco Furlanetto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |