| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 36% | +24.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| logistic | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Alexandre Reco | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Justin Boulais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Alessandro Pecci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Patrick Brady | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |