| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.1% | 70% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| logistic | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Luka Mikrut | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1756 | 1636 |
| Surface Elo | 1756 | 1636 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Sean Cuenin | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Sean Cuenin | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | Luka Mikrut |
| 23 Jun 2025 | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | Luka Mikrut |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |