| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.1% | 88% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.1% | 20.8% |
| logistic | 72.9% | 27.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Juan Estevez | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1370 | 1408 |
| Surface Elo | 1370 | 1408 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Tomas Farjat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Enzo Camargo Lima | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |