| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.4% | 55% | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.0% | 82% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.4% | 71% | -6.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.0% | 75% | +6.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 69.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.8% | 25.7% | 43.5% |
| xgboost | 27.9% | 27.2% | 44.9% |
| logistic | 32.5% | 25.0% | 42.5% |
| Stranraer | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1429 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1429 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Berwick Rangers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Elgin | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Elgin | 5 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Dumbarton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Forfar | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Celtic | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Peterhead | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Hamilton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Stranraer | 2 - 1 | East Kilbride |
| 24 Jan 2026 | East Kilbride | 0 - 2 | Stranraer |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Stranraer | 1 - 3 | East Kilbride |
| 16 Aug 2025 | East Kilbride | 3 - 1 | Stranraer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.34 | 74.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |