| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.0% | 59% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1637 | 1731 |
| Surface Elo | 1637 | 1731 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carrascosa Diaz, Maxi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | Jack Pinnington Jones |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | Jack Pinnington Jones |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |