| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.6% | 60% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.8% | 42.1% |
| logistic | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Stefan Kozlov | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Colton Smith | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Colton Smith | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Braden Shick | 0 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |