| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.4% | 43% | -1.1% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 77% | -2.4% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.0% | 60% | -6.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 55% | +1.6% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.7% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| xgboost | 29.1% | 24.3% | 46.7% |
| logistic | 35.8% | 29.6% | 34.6% |
| Annecy | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1495 | 1543 |
| Surface Elo | 1495 | 1543 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Sochaux | 3 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Sochaux | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Nancy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Nancy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Red Star | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Rodez | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Rodez Aveyron Football | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Grenoble | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Grenoble | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Annecy | 0 - 0 | Montpellier |
| 07 Nov 2025 | Montpellier | 1 - 0 | Annecy |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.84 | 54.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |