| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.2% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DC | Draw or away | 81.8% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 76.3% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 19.0% | 22.9% | 58.1% |
| xgboost | 20.1% | 20.5% | 59.4% |
| logistic | 13.5% | 23.6% | 62.9% |
| Rio Ave | Sp Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1627 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1627 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 3 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Academico Viseu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Academico Viseu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Famalicao | 0 - 4 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Famalicao | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Louletano DC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | AD Os Limianos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Nov | A | AGF Aarhus | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Famalicao | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Famalicao | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Atletico de Vila Mea | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Sp Braga | 3 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 - 2 | Sp Braga |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | Sp Braga |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Sp Braga | 4 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Rio Ave | 0 - 0 | Sp Braga |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Sp Braga | 2 - 1 | Rio Ave |
| 05 Mar 2023 | Sp Braga | 2 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Rio Ave | 2 - 3 | Sp Braga |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Rio Ave | 0 - 0 | Sp Braga |
| 22 Dec 2020 | Sp Braga | 3 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||