OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Greek Super League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
AEK 2.20 5 - 0 0.60 Panetolikos
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 71.5%91%-19.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 94.0%100%-5.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 92.9%100%-7.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.6%71%-13.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson76.3%18.1%5.6%
xgboost83.6%11.9%4.5%
logistic80.6%14.6%4.8%
Inputs the models saw
AEKPanetolikos
Elo (pre-match)18021459
Surface Elo18021459
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.200.60
Form trend-0.400.60
Season points per game2.331.29
Season goals for / game2.671.14
Season goals against / game0.501.57
Rest days146
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
AEK: last 5
20 OctAManchester City1 - 5L
14 OctAShakhtar D1 - 3L
10 OctHOFI Crete3 - 0W
10 OctHOFI Crete3 - 0W
20 SepAVolos NPS2 - 1W
Panetolikos: last 5
18 OctHOlympiakos0 - 2L
11 OctAKifisia0 - 2L
20 SepHPAOK1 - 3L
13 SepAPanathinaikos0 - 3L
06 SepALevadeiakos2 - 0W
Head to head
14 Dec 2025Panetolikos0 - 5AEK
02 Nov 2025AEK1 - 0Panetolikos
25 Jan 2025AEK1 - 0Panetolikos
05 Oct 2024Panetolikos1 - 0AEK
18 Dec 2023Panetolikos2 - 2AEK
08 Oct 2023AEK3 - 0Panetolikos
15 Jan 2023AEK4 - 1Panetolikos
17 Sep 2022Panetolikos0 - 2AEK
16 Jan 2022AEK1 - 2Panetolikos
03 Oct 2021Panetolikos1 - 3AEK
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away19.005.3%24 Oct 18:00
Bet3651X2draw8.5011.8%24 Oct 18:00
Bet3651X2home1.0991.7%24 Oct 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%24 Oct 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.8834.7%24 Oct 18:00
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC