| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.0% | 69% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| logistic | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1658 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1658 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Keaton Hance | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Mees Rottgering | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Aug | A | Arthur Fery | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | Jan Choinski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | Nishesh Basavareddy |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |