OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ National League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Altrincham 2.40 3 - 1 0.80 Aldershot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.8%53%-0.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.6%81%-4.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 67.6%71%-3.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.4%64%-11.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.7%23.2%28.1%
xgboost49.1%25.7%25.2%
logistic51.8%25.7%22.5%
Inputs the models saw
AltrinchamAldershot
Elo (pre-match)14901381
Surface Elo14901381
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.400.80
Form trend0.600.20
Season points per game1.751.50
Season goals for / game1.421.42
Season goals against / game1.501.08
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Altrincham: last 5
03 OctABoreham Wood1 - 3L
03 OctABoreham Wood1 - 3L
29 SepAGateshead1 - 0W
29 SepAGateshead1 - 0W
26 SepHHornchurch3 - 0W
Aldershot: last 5
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
29 SepAHornchurch1 - 2L
29 SepAHornchurch1 - 2L
26 SepHTamworth5 - 1W
Head to head
06 Dec 2025Aldershot2 - 1Altrincham
09 Aug 2025Altrincham3 - 2Aldershot
15 Mar 2025Altrincham1 - 2Aldershot
23 Nov 2024Aldershot2 - 1Altrincham
17 Feb 2024Aldershot2 - 0Altrincham
03 Oct 2023Altrincham2 - 1Aldershot
29 Apr 2023Aldershot1 - 1Altrincham
24 Sep 2022Altrincham1 - 0Aldershot
26 Mar 2022Altrincham1 - 0Aldershot
04 Dec 2021Aldershot2 - 2Altrincham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.1024.4%10 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%10 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home1.7357.8%10 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%10 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%10 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away3.6027.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7526.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9152.4%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5763.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC