OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Crystal Palace 0.80 1 - 3 1.80 Liverpool
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.1%63%-6.9%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 79.3%85%-6.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 72.3%80%-8.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 49.7%40%+9.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 48.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.8%24.8%51.5%
xgboost21.7%21.8%56.5%
logistic15.9%25.1%58.9%
Inputs the models saw
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
Elo (pre-match)16341794
Surface Elo16341794
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.80
Form trend0.500.30
Season points per game0.781.67
Season goals for / game1.001.22
Season goals against / game2.331.00
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Crystal Palace: last 5
05 NovHHoffenheim1 - 1D
03 NovANewport County2 - 1W
31 OctATottenham0 - 2L
31 OctATottenham0 - 2L
28 OctAFulham1 - 0W
Liverpool: last 5
04 NovAFenerbahce2 - 3L
01 NovHArsenal0 - 1L
01 NovHArsenal0 - 1L
28 OctHChelsea1 - 1D
25 OctHBrighton2 - 0W
Head to head
25 Apr 2026Liverpool3 - 1Crystal Palace
27 Sep 2025Crystal Palace2 - 1Liverpool
25 May 2025Liverpool1 - 1Crystal Palace
05 Oct 2024Crystal Palace0 - 1Liverpool
14 Apr 2024Liverpool0 - 1Crystal Palace
09 Dec 2023Crystal Palace1 - 2Liverpool
25 Feb 2023Crystal Palace0 - 0Liverpool
15 Aug 2022Liverpool1 - 1Crystal Palace
23 Jan 2022Crystal Palace1 - 3Liverpool
18 Sep 2021Liverpool3 - 0Crystal Palace
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.5564.5%08 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2draw4.5022.2%08 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2home5.5018.2%08 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%08 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6338.0%08 Nov 14:00
SportyBet1X2away1.6162.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.6321.6%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.4718.3%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4967.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC