| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.6% | 88% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 86.8% | 13.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 94.5% | 5.4% |
| logistic | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Hubert Hurkacz | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1998 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1998 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.45 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.64 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Novak Djokovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | Yi Zhou |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.30 | 15.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |