| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.6% | 60% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.1% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Max Houkes | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1644 | 1651 |
| Surface Elo | 1644 | 1651 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Alec Beckley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Manuel Plunger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Benjamin Lock | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Alec Beckley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Marlon Vankan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Benjamin Lock | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Niklas Grunewald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Benjamin Lock | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |