| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.3% | 45% | +7.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.1% | 74% | +4.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.3% | 63% | +7.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 48% | +9.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.4% | 27.7% | 44.9% |
| xgboost | 22.2% | 28.2% | 49.5% |
| logistic | 16.5% | 24.0% | 59.5% |
| Celta | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1627 | 1780 |
| Surface Elo | 1627 | 1780 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Elche | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Elche | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Santander | 5 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Malaga | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Sep | A | Getafe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Sassuolo | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.54 | 28.2% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.72 | 58.1% | 15 Oct 06:15 |