| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.0% | 51% | +3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.5% | 49.4% |
| logistic | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Henry Bernet | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1670 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1670 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | Henry Bernet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |