| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 49% | +2.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.1% | 80% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.0% | 66% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 59% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.6% | 25.6% | 26.8% |
| xgboost | 49.9% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| logistic | 42.3% | 28.8% | 28.9% |
| Scunthorpe | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 3 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Boreham Wood | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Harrogate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Altrincham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Woking | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Scunthorpe | 0 - 0 | Hartlepool |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Hartlepool | 1 - 2 | Scunthorpe |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Scunthorpe | 1 - 1 | Hartlepool |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Hartlepool | 0 - 0 | Scunthorpe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |