| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 56% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.1% | 83% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.6% | 75% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 59% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.8% | 24.6% | 19.6% |
| xgboost | 52.6% | 23.8% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 48.5% | 28.6% | 22.9% |
| Reims | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1454 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1454 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Nantes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Nantes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Montpellier | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Nancy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Guingamp | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Oct | H | Metz | 4 - 2 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Annecy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Laval | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Boulogne | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | St Etienne | 2 - 3 | L |
| 21 Mar 2021 | Dijon | 0 - 1 | Reims |
| 06 Jan 2021 | Reims | 0 - 0 | Dijon |
| 28 Sep 2019 | Reims | 1 - 2 | Dijon |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Dijon | 1 - 1 | Reims |
| 22 Sep 2018 | Reims | 0 - 0 | Dijon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |