OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ England Premier League · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Hull 0.60 1 - 1 1.20 Brentford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.9%58%-13.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.1%79%-2.6%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 57.0%76%-19.0%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.5%61%-5.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 56.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.7%25.6%47.7%
xgboost40.3%22.6%37.2%
logistic32.3%29.0%38.7%
Inputs the models saw
HullBrentford
Elo (pre-match)15941737
Surface Elo15941737
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend0.200.20
Season points per game0.500.50
Season goals for / game1.001.50
Season goals against / game1.502.00
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 2 D
Hull: last 5
17 OctAFulham0 - 1L
17 OctAFulham0 - 1L
11 OctHEverton2 - 2D
11 OctHEverton2 - 2D
19 SepANewcastle1 - 2L
Brentford: last 5
17 OctHLiverpool1 - 2L
17 OctHLiverpool1 - 2L
10 OctAAston Villa2 - 2D
10 OctAAston Villa2 - 2D
10 OctHDerby4 - 2W
Head to head
01 Feb 2020Hull1 - 5Brentford
17 Aug 2019Brentford1 - 1Hull
23 Feb 2019Brentford5 - 1Hull
15 Dec 2018Hull2 - 0Brentford
06 May 2018Brentford1 - 1Hull
09 Dec 2017Hull3 - 2Brentford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7258.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1324.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.8520.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6560.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC