| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.3% | 45% | +10.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.6% | 52.3% |
| logistic | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Aleksandr Braynin | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1396 | 1296 |
| Surface Elo | 1396 | 1296 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Penzlin, J | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |