| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.7% | 63% | -18.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 82% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.7% | 80% | -22.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 66% | -8.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.0% | 23.4% | 49.6% |
| xgboost | 36.6% | 30.1% | 33.3% |
| logistic | 31.5% | 28.8% | 39.7% |
| Paderborn | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Hamburg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Hamburg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Werder Bremen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Werder Bremen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Stuttgart | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Alemannia Aachen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Borussia M´gladbach | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Hamburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Paderborn | 0 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Paderborn | 0 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.65 | 21.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.20 | 19.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |