| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.9% | 64% | -5.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Adrian Mannarino | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1828 | 1776 |
| Surface Elo | 1828 | 1776 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Alex Molcan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Sep | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Ignacio Buse |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.56 | 64.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.49 | 40.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.53 | 65.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.56 | 64.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.55 | 39.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.38 | 42.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.58 | 63.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.64 | 37.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Adrian Mannarino | 1.61 | 62.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Ignacio Buse | 2.74 | 36.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.52 | 65.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.68 | 37.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.41 | 41.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.46 | 40.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.58 | 63.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.66 | 37.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Adrian Mannarino | 1.60 | 62.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Ignacio Buse | 2.74 | 36.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.41 | 41.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.60 | 38.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.49 | 67.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.47 | 68.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.49 | 67.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.25 | 44.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.53 | 65.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.58 | 63.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 1.52 | 65.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Ignacio Buse | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |