| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.1% | 40% | +15.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.4% | 45.5% |
| logistic | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1753 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1753 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2022 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | James Duckworth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |