OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-16
🎾 ATP Challenger Olbia, Italy Men Singles · Friday 16 October 2026, 10:10 UTC · finished
Maks Kasnikowski 1.20 2 - 0 0.60 Stefano Travaglia
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 60.5%62%-1.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov50.4%49.6%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost61.0%39.0%
logistic61.6%38.4%
Inputs the models saw
Maks KasnikowskiStefano Travaglia
Elo (pre-match)15991580
Surface Elo15991580
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend-0.900.60
Season points per game2.000.00
Season goals for / game1.331.00
Season goals against / game0.332.00
Rest days223
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Maks Kasnikowski: last 5
14 OctAAndrea Guerrieri2 - 0W
12 OctHCezar Cretu2 - 0W
12 OctADamir Dzumhur0 - 2L
12 OctHStefano Travaglia2 - 0W
12 OctAAndrea Guerrieri2 - 0W
Stefano Travaglia: last 5
13 OctHViktor Durasovic2 - 1W
12 OctAMaks Kasnikowski0 - 2L
12 OctHValentin Royer2 - 0W
12 OctHViktor Durasovic2 - 1W
22 SepHMarvin Moeller1 - 2L
Head to head
12 Oct 2026Maks Kasnikowski2 - 0Stefano Travaglia
26 Jun 2023Maks Kasnikowski2 - 0Stefano Travaglia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2045.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6162.1%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:02 UTC