| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 53% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.6% | 82% | -5.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.9% | 73% | -5.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 54% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.7% | 26.9% | 25.4% |
| xgboost | 44.2% | 31.3% | 24.5% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 27.8% | 24.9% |
| Rotherham | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1383 | 1401 |
| Surface Elo | 1383 | 1401 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Newport County | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Newport County | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | York | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | York | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Cambridge | 1 - 4 | L |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Gillingham | 0 - 2 | Rotherham |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Rotherham | 5 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | Rotherham |
| 17 Apr 2018 | Gillingham | 0 - 1 | Rotherham |
| 28 Oct 2017 | Rotherham | 1 - 3 | Gillingham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.92 | 52.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.86 | 53.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |