| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.1% | 70% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 65.1% |
| logistic | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Julio Cesar Porras | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1480 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1480 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Carrascosa Diaz, Maxi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Amit Vales | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Pavlos Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Alexander Vasilev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Cordoba, Carles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Joao Domingues | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Joao Dinis Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |