| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 56% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.1% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Basiletti, Noemi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Lucie Havlickova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Maria Lourdes Carle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Mar | H | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Jul | A | Anett Kontaveit | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Vendula Valdmannova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Vendula Valdmannova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Elizabeth Mandlik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Mar | A | Katarzyna Kawa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Apr 2022 | Ekaterine Gorgodze | 0 - 2 | Laura Pigossi |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |