| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.4% | 50% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.5% | 79% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.8% | 66% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 65% | -3.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.5% | 23.2% | 27.2% |
| xgboost | 41.5% | 23.5% | 35.0% |
| logistic | 40.7% | 29.6% | 29.8% |
| Zwolle | Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1347 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1347 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.86 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.86 | 2.71 |
| Rest days | 22 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Groningen | 0 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Feyenoord | 0 - 7 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Nijmegen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nijmegen | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Telstar | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Twente | 1 - 4 | L |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Cambuur | 3 - 4 | Zwolle |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Zwolle | 1 - 2 | Cambuur |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 11 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 11 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 11 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 11 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Oct 13:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.86 | 25.9% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.14 | 46.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |