| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.9% | 69% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.3% | 38.6% |
| logistic | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| Elmer Moller | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1708 | 1617 |
| Surface Elo | 1708 | 1617 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.85 | 1.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Svyatoslav Gulin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Valentino Grippo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov 2024 | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |