| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.3% | 54% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 84.4% | 78% | +6.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 79.0% | 70% | +9.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 72% | -13.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 9.5% | 17.1% | 73.4% |
| xgboost | 25.6% | 22.9% | 51.5% |
| logistic | 10.8% | 21.1% | 68.1% |
| Braintree Town | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1301 | 1666 |
| Surface Elo | 1301 | 1666 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 171 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Truro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Walton and Hersham FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | AFC Rushden And Diamonds | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Dorking | 3 - 4 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Tamworth | 1 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Millwall | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Millwall | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Millwall | 2 - 2 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |