| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.5% | 69% | +9.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.3% | 28.6% |
| logistic | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Arthur Rinderknech | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1832 | 1649 |
| Surface Elo | 1832 | 1649 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 5 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Ben Shelton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Ben Shelton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | James Duckworth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug 2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 19 May 2025 | Arthur Rinderknech | 2 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Arthur Rinderknech | 3 - 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 19 Apr 2021 | Arthur Rinderknech | 1 - 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |