OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-21
🎾 ATP Challenger Lisbon, Portugal Men Singles · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 13:10 UTC · finished
Matej Dodig 2.40 2 - 1 0.60 Marco Cecchinato
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 69.0%75%-5.7%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov72.4%27.6%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost73.5%26.5%
logistic70.0%30.0%
Inputs the models saw
Matej DodigMarco Cecchinato
Elo (pre-match)18511627
Surface Elo18511627
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.400.60
Form trend0.30-0.60
Season points per game2.701.50
Season goals for / game1.901.00
Season goals against / game0.401.00
Rest days12
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Matej Dodig: last 5
20 OctHJoao Domingues2 - 0W
19 OctAMarco Trungelliti0 - 2L
19 OctAMarco Cecchinato2 - 1W
19 OctAJoao Domingues2 - 0W
17 OctAFrancesco Passaro1 - 2L
Marco Cecchinato: last 5
19 OctHVilius Gaubas2 - 0W
19 OctHMatej Dodig1 - 2L
19 OctHVilius Gaubas2 - 0W
13 OctHPedro Vives Marcos0 - 1L
12 OctHPedro Vives Marcos0 - 2L
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Marco Cecchinato1 - 2Matej Dodig
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0532.8%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3474.6%21 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:01 UTC