| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.9% | 45% | +7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.4% | 49.5% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Facundo Mena | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1628 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1628 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Renzo Olivo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Gonzalo Villanueva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Gonzalo Villanueva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| 05 Aug 2024 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| 03 Jun 2024 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Guido Ivan Justo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 23 Sep 06:15 |