| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.2% | 63% | -5.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 47.2% |
| xgboost | 52.3% | 46.7% |
| logistic | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Minnesota Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1389 | 1608 |
| Surface Elo | 1389 | 1608 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 6 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | New Jersey Devils | 0 - 4 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Montr茅al Canadiens | 2 - 4 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 11 Nov | A | Montr茅al Canadiens | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | San Jose Sharks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 2 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Washington Capitals | 5 - 1 | W |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 6 | Minnesota Wild |
| 30 Jan 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 3 | Minnesota Wild |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 1 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.52 | 39.7% | 12 Nov 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 12 Nov 18:20 |