| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.1% | 36% | +12.4% | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.2% | 82% | -5.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.3% | 47% | +14.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 69% | -7.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.1% | 22.2% | 43.6% |
| xgboost | 29.7% | 20.8% | 49.5% |
| logistic | 26.8% | 25.9% | 47.3% |
| Scunthorpe | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1365 | 1516 |
| Surface Elo | 1365 | 1516 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Season points per game | 0.43 | 2.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.29 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 13 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Port Vale | 2 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tamworth | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Fulham | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Sutton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Sutton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Southend | 3 - 3 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Southend | 3 - 3 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |