| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.2% | 41% | +8.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.3% | 75% | +3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.4% | 59% | +8.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 63% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 56.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.1% | 28.4% | 26.5% |
| xgboost | 32.2% | 45.4% | 22.5% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 20.7% | 20.5% |
| Ionikos | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1367 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1367 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1252 | 1615 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Proodeftiki FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Diagoras Rhodes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Aer Afantou | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 May | H | Lamia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 May | A | OFI Crete | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Pas Pyrgos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | APS Zakynthos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Proodeftiki FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Vyrona | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 May 2022 | Ionikos | 5 - 1 | Apollon |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Ionikos | 4 - 0 | Apollon |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Apollon | 0 - 0 | Ionikos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 2.95 | 33.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.59 | 62.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |