| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.3% | 82% | -14.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.2% | 22.8% |
| logistic | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| Mees Rottgering | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Zahraj | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |