| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 77.2% | 75% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 23.5% | 76.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 21.4% | 78.5% |
| logistic | 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Yi Zhou | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1804 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1804 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 29 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Jie Cui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Jiri Lehecka | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Andrey Rublev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Aug | H | Valentin Royer | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |