| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.6% | 44% | +6.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 78.5% | 75% | +3.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 67.6% | 62% | +5.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 61% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.2% | 34.3% | 42.5% |
| xgboost | 27.1% | 26.0% | 46.8% |
| logistic | 18.8% | 27.2% | 54.1% |
| Leganes | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1403 | 1590 |
| Surface Elo | 1403 | 1590 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Cordoba | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Cordoba | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Almeria | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Almeria | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Orihuela CF | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Eibar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Eibar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | Leganes |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Leganes | 0 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 01 Apr 2021 | Mallorca | 1 - 0 | Leganes |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Leganes | 0 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 19 Jun 2020 | Mallorca | 1 - 1 | Leganes |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Leganes | 1 - 0 | Mallorca |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 24 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.33 | 23.1% | 24 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.08 | 48.1% | 24 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 15:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.64 | 61.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |