| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.0% | 67% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| logistic | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1566 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 1566 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Renzo Olivo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 11 Sep 2023 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |