| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.0% | 75% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 95.2% | 96% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 94.9% | 94% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% | 58% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 42.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 9.1% | 21.2% | 69.8% |
| xgboost | 11.7% | 15.4% | 72.9% |
| logistic | 8.0% | 18.5% | 73.4% |
| Volos NFC | AEK | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1793 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1793 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 2.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 8 W · 1 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Kalamata | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Olympiakos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Iraklis | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | OFI Crete | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 May | A | OFI Crete | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Aris | 5 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Kifisia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Iraklis | 4 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Olympiakos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Volos NFC | 2 - 2 | AEK |
| 28 Sep 2025 | AEK | 1 - 0 | Volos NFC |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Volos NFC | 2 - 4 | AEK |
| 16 Sep 2024 | AEK | 2 - 0 | Volos NFC |
| 03 Jan 2024 | AEK | 3 - 0 | Volos NFC |
| 03 Sep 2023 | Volos NFC | 2 - 3 | AEK |
| 14 May 2023 | AEK | 4 - 0 | Volos NFC |
| 05 Apr 2023 | Volos NFC | 0 - 1 | AEK |
| 28 Dec 2022 | Volos NFC | 0 - 4 | AEK |
| 27 Aug 2022 | AEK | 0 - 1 | Volos NFC |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.22 | 82.0% | 20 Sep 16:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.75 | 17.4% | 20 Sep 16:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 12.00 | 8.3% | 20 Sep 16:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 20 Sep 16:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 20 Sep 16:00 |