| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.4% | 45% | -2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 78% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.6% | 62% | -3.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 61% | -6.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.0% | 27.7% | 31.2% |
| xgboost | 26.3% | 29.8% | 43.9% |
| logistic | 23.6% | 26.7% | 49.7% |
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1485 | 1634 |
| Surface Elo | 1485 | 1634 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Avellino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Sampdoria Genoa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Sampdoria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | L.R. Vicenza | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Vicenza | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Pisa | 3 - 3 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Pisa | 3 - 3 | D |
| 05 May 2024 | Palermo | 2 - 2 | Ascoli |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Ascoli | 0 - 1 | Palermo |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Ascoli | 1 - 2 | Palermo |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Palermo | 2 - 3 | Ascoli |
| 04 May 2019 | Ascoli | 1 - 2 | Palermo |
| 27 Dec 2018 | Palermo | 3 - 0 | Ascoli |
| 27 Feb 2018 | Palermo | 4 - 1 | Ascoli |
| 30 Sep 2017 | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | Palermo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |