| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 81.0% | 79% | +2.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.0% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.79 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Emilio Camacho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Ignacio Gallego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Federico Zeballos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |