| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.3% | 53% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.2% | 82% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.3% | 73% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.4% | 51% | -1.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.2% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 28.3% | 20.9% |
| logistic | 52.9% | 27.3% | 19.9% |
| Rizespor | Erzurumspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1523 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1523 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Kocaelispor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Kocaelispor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Oct | H | Trabzonspor | 3 - 4 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Trabzonspor | 3 - 4 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Corum | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Corum | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Corum | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Gaziantep | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Gaziantep | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Eyupspor | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 08 Nov 10:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 08 Nov 10:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 08 Nov 10:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 08 Nov 10:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 08 Nov 10:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.11 | 24.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.64 | 27.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |