| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.7% | 81% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 76.1% | 23.9% |
| logistic | 71.2% | 28.8% |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1631 | 1392 |
| Surface Elo | 1631 | 1392 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | A | Alexander Donski | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Aug | H | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 24 Sep 06:15 |