| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.6% | 45% | +14.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Dalma Galfi | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1508 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1508 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Jorge, Matilde | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Beatriz Castro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Polina Iatcenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Teodora Kostovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Jorge, Francisca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Colmegna, Martina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Mona Barthel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Senica, Alja | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |