OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-06
🎾 ATP Challenger Antofagasta, Chile Men Singles · Tuesday 06 October 2026, 14:10 UTC · finished
Alex Barrena 3.00 0 - 2 1.80 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.1%49%+10.3%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov47.4%52.6%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost68.8%31.1%
logistic60.5%39.5%
Inputs the models saw
Alex BarrenaMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Elo (pre-match)17251601
Surface Elo17251601
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.001.80
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game2.671.50
Season goals for / game1.671.50
Season goals against / game0.331.50
Rest days84
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 0 D
Alex Barrena: last 5
05 OctHMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida0 - 2L
27 SepHFacundo Mena2 - 0W
26 SepAJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo2 - 0W
25 SepAJuan Carlos Prado Angelo1 - 0W
24 SepAJuan Pablo Ficovich2 - 0W
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: last 5
05 OctAJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva0 - 2L
05 OctAGenaro Alberto Olivieri2 - 0W
05 OctAAlex Barrena2 - 0W
02 OctHBarrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas1 - 2L
30 SepAJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva2 - 1W
Head to head
05 Oct 2026Alex Barrena0 - 2Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
26 Jan 2026Alex Barrena2 - 1Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
07 Oct 2024Alex Barrena0 - 2Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
25 Sep 2023Alex Barrena0 - 2Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7258.1%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0548.8%06 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC