OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
Heracles 0.00 2 - 0 1.40 Vitesse
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 49.9%20%+29.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.3%84%-10.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.5%26%+38.8%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.4%71%-13.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson35.0%26.3%38.8%
xgboost27.7%29.9%42.4%
logistic25.2%29.0%45.8%
Inputs the models saw
HeraclesVitesse
Elo (pre-match)13461426
Surface Elo13461426
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.40
Form trend0.00-0.20
Season points per game1.503.00
Season goals for / game1.503.00
Season goals against / game1.501.00
Rest days132860
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Heracles: last 5
17 MayHGroningen1 - 2L
10 MayATelstar0 - 3L
03 MayAZwolle0 - 1L
26 AprHVolendam0 - 2L
11 AprHAjax0 - 3L
Vitesse: last 5
19 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 1W
19 MayHAjax2 - 2D
12 MayAHeerenveen3 - 1W
05 MayAUtrecht0 - 1L
28 AprHFor Sittard3 - 2W
Head to head
10 Feb 2024Heracles3 - 2Vitesse
10 Dec 2023Vitesse2 - 0Heracles
13 Mar 2022Heracles0 - 0Vitesse
12 Dec 2021Vitesse2 - 1Heracles
09 Jan 2021Heracles0 - 2Vitesse
03 Oct 2020Vitesse3 - 0Heracles
24 Aug 2019Heracles1 - 1Vitesse
16 Mar 2019Heracles3 - 2Vitesse
07 Oct 2018Vitesse4 - 0Heracles
17 Mar 2018Vitesse0 - 0Heracles
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.7021.3%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5022.2%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6062.5%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4270.4%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.8035.7%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:26 UTC