| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.5% | 81% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 86.9% | 96% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 83.8% | 95% | -10.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 71% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.5% | 22.0% | 15.5% |
| xgboost | 70.8% | 17.7% | 11.5% |
| logistic | 74.2% | 17.3% | 8.5% |
| Besiktas | Genclerbirligi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1675 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1675 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Celtic | 2 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Kasimpasa | 2 - 2 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Kasimpasa | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Oct | H | Istanbul BB | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Buyuksehyr | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Alanyaspor | 5 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Alanyaspor | 5 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Karakopru Belediye SK | 5 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Konyaspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Konyaspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Genclerbirligi | 0 - 2 | Besiktas |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | Genclerbirligi |
| 15 Feb 2021 | Genclerbirligi | 0 - 3 | Besiktas |
| 04 Oct 2020 | Besiktas | 0 - 1 | Genclerbirligi |
| 25 Jul 2020 | Genclerbirligi | 0 - 3 | Besiktas |
| 27 Dec 2019 | Besiktas | 4 - 1 | Genclerbirligi |
| 10 Mar 2018 | Besiktas | 1 - 0 | Genclerbirligi |
| 13 Oct 2017 | Genclerbirligi | 2 - 1 | Besiktas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.13 | 9.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.74 | 14.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |